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Red100
304236.9
259070.2
179630.9
Blue66
167655.3
139126.6
7835.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9711605015020025010066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.20.2
58.258.0
Auto1.0
Teleop69.1
End0.0
red by 14.9
1676
#41
55.32.0
59.957.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.6
End0.0
Second
3042
#29
36.90.2
19.719.5
Auto0.7
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
78
#70
35.92.0
40.238.2
Auto0.6
Teleop35.4
End0.0
Third
1796
#53
30.90.2
26.125.9
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 4.3
1391
#42
26.62.0
17.515.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0