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Red181
7835.9
98797.5
174642.7
Blue167
201655.6
16643.4
436263.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157150120140180200181167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
97.51.0
88.189.0
Auto8.9
Teleop88.7
End0.0
red by 34.1
63.40.5
58.559.1
Auto0.5
Teleop62.9
End0.0
Second
1746
#20
42.71.0
35.136.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0
blue by 13.0
2016
#16
55.60.5
54.154.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop56.5
End0.0
Third
78
#70
35.91.0
38.539.5
Auto0.6
Teleop35.4
End0.0
blue by 7.4
166
#24
43.40.5
43.644.2
Auto1.7
Teleop41.7
End0.0