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Red174
304236.9
181755.3
550943.8
Blue192
234432.7
278350.6
395040.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110109100120140160180174192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#15
55.33.0
48.451.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 4.8
2783
#38
50.64.0
44.348.3
Auto1.2
Teleop49.3
End0.0
Second
5509
#21
43.83.0
41.344.3
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
red by 3.7
3950
#23
40.14.0
37.241.2
Auto0.7
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Third
3042
#29
36.93.0
24.227.2
Auto0.7
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 4.2
2344
#31
32.74.0
31.435.4
Auto-1.2
Teleop33.9
End0.0