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Red126
501539.2
557643.4
22327.2
Blue138
545428.0
1146.7
309844.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90127050150200250126138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#17
43.41.3
40.341.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.7
End0.0
blue by 3.3
11
#54
46.70.6
49.450.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Second
5015
#37
39.21.3
34.636.0
Auto2.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 5.6
3098
#44
44.80.6
49.550.1
Auto6.3
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Third
223
#50
27.21.3
24.525.8
Auto-0.9
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5454
#49
28.00.6
27.027.6
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0