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Red123
491827.4
34340.7
1146.7
Blue118
545428.0
502424.8
81136.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12376050100150200123118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#54
46.70.1
50.050.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 10.7
811
#67
36.01.6
32.834.3
Auto0.5
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Second
343
#43
40.70.1
39.739.9
Auto1.4
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 12.7
5454
#49
28.01.6
27.629.2
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
4918
#74
27.40.1
30.630.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 2.6
5024
#75
24.81.6
26.227.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0