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Red135
250015.6
121864.7
309844.8
Blue55
206443.9
153323.2
7835.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131955015020013555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.2
64.064.3
Auto1.3
Teleop63.4
End0.0
red by 20.9
2064
#40
43.92.5
40.337.8
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Second
3098
#44
44.80.2
50.150.3
Auto6.3
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 8.9
78
#70
35.92.5
39.537.1
Auto0.6
Teleop35.4
End0.0
Third
2500
#73
15.60.2
16.216.4
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 7.6
1533
#55
23.22.5
24.421.9
Auto2.1
Teleop21.1
End0.0