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Red184
206259.3
414367.6
283022.4
Blue101
175667.0
233865.1
17120.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401510100200300400500600700800184101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.60.6
66.667.2
Auto1.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
red by 0.6
67.00.9
67.666.7
Auto8.4
Teleop58.5
End0.0
Second
59.30.6
58.459.0
Auto1.5
Teleop57.8
End0.0
blue by 5.8
65.10.9
65.764.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop65.4
End0.0
Third
2830
#17
22.40.6
21.522.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 1.9
171
#39
20.60.9
21.220.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0