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Red172
206259.3
414367.6
283022.4
Blue166
175667.0
233865.1
17120.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14614380100120160180200172166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.60.4
67.267.6
Auto1.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
red by 0.6
67.00.2
66.767.0
Auto8.4
Teleop58.5
End0.0
Second
59.30.4
58.959.3
Auto1.5
Teleop57.8
End0.0
blue by 5.8
65.10.2
64.965.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop65.4
End0.0
Third
2830
#17
22.40.4
22.022.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 1.9
171
#39
20.60.2
20.320.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0