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Quarterfinal pool 62015 Midwest Regional
Red125
1650.9
219441.3
235823.7
Blue122
173628.2
313532.9
421231.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11582050100150200250125122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#8
50.90.3
50.250.5
Auto0.3
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 18.0
3135
#10
32.90.8
32.132.9
Auto0.8
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
41.30.3
40.640.9
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 10.0
4212
#18
31.30.6
30.731.3
Auto1.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
2358
#20
23.70.3
23.023.3
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
1736
#35
28.20.6
27.628.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.6
End0.0