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Red61
535011.5
409636.1
173919.7
Blue49
429610.6
369520.4
162535.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675402040801001201401606149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#24
36.10.3
35.335.0
Auto0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 0.9
35.20.4
29.729.3
Auto1.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Second
1739
#27
19.70.3
19.118.8
Auto0.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 0.8
3695
#33
20.40.7
17.216.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
5350
#41
11.50.5
12.812.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
4296
#45
10.60.4
10.710.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.9
End0.0