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Qual 542015 Midwest Regional
Red136
175667.0
335217.0
219441.3
Blue165
178129.1
233865.1
313532.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112112110120130140150136165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#2
67.01.0
63.2→64.2
Auto8.4
Teleop58.5
End0.0
red by 1.9
2338
#1
65.12.5
59.4→61.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop65.4
End0.0
Second
2194
#4
41.31.0
38.0→38.9
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 8.4
3135
#10
32.94.1
28.6→32.7
Auto0.8
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
3352
#36
17.01.0
15.1→16.1
Auto1.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 12.1
1781
#11
29.12.5
27.9→30.3
Auto0.4
Teleop28.7
End0.0