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Red10
535011.5
42928.8
270411.5
Blue40
245154.8
64822.8
31103.9
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25970501502001040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5350
#41
11.52.0
11.89.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 43.3
54.82.4
56.854.3
Auto1.2
Teleop53.6
End0.0
Second
2704
#48
11.51.4
13.111.8
Auto0.9
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 11.3
648
#32
22.82.4
23.621.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
4292
#44
8.82.0
12.310.3
Auto1.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
red by 4.9
3110
#51
3.93.5
8.55.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop4.3
End0.0