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Qual 82015 Midwest Regional
Red0
173628.2
535011.5
429610.6
Blue16
335217.0
215116.1
512517.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46360206080100016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#35
28.21.7
26.1→24.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 10.6
5125
#26
17.61.9
13.6→11.7
Auto0.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Second
5350
#41
11.52.8
10.6→7.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 5.5
3352
#36
17.01.5
15.9→14.4
Auto1.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
4296
#45
10.62.3
9.3→7.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 5.5
2151
#40
16.11.9
9.3→7.4
Auto0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0