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Red40
283022.4
369520.4
17120.6
Blue164
497921.6
162535.2
1650.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5595015020025040164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#17
22.40.9
19.718.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 28.5
16
#8
50.93.6
44.347.9
Auto0.3
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Second
171
#39
20.60.9
23.522.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 14.6
35.23.6
31.334.9
Auto1.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Third
3695
#33
20.41.2
20.118.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4979
#29
21.64.8
16.521.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0