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Final 12015 Central Illinois Regional
Red184
175653.9
248182.1
222023.6
Blue179
414352.8
251255.7
421220.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15711650100200250184179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
82.10.5
81.1→81.6
Auto10.9
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 26.4
2512
#2
55.70.9
54.9→55.8
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
1756
#4
53.90.5
52.9→53.3
Auto3.0
Teleop50.8
End0.0
red by 1.0
4143
#3
52.80.9
52.1→53.0
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Third
2220
#21
23.60.5
22.6→23.1
Auto1.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 3.2
4212
#27
20.40.9
19.7→20.5
Auto2.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0