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Red26
170115.6
421316.3
285611.4
Blue74
87646.6
424116.8
173626.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33700501001502674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#36
16.30.7
16.315.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 30.2
876
#5
46.60.4
30.230.6
Auto0.1
Teleop46.5
End0.0
Second
1701
#32
15.60.7
12.011.3
Auto0.6
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 10.5
1736
#16
26.10.6
24.124.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Third
2856
#35
11.41.2
11.510.4
Auto0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 5.4
4241
#37
16.80.6
12.313.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0