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Qual 162015 Central Illinois Regional
Red88
464634.3
320124.3
400934.3
Blue31
350711.7
17125.8
421220.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62612040801001201408831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#11
34.31.3
24.8→26.2
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
red by 8.5
171
#18
25.82.8
20.6→17.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Second
4646
#14
34.31.2
27.2→28.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
red by 13.9
4212
#27
20.42.8
24.4→21.7
Auto2.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
3201
#19
24.32.0
11.8→13.9
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 12.6
3507
#39
11.72.8
19.0→16.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0