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Red1
421316.3
41569.0
173626.1
Blue51
544227.2
464634.3
421220.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43670100150200151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#16
26.12.0
26.124.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
blue by 8.1
4646
#14
34.30.4
29.629.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Second
4213
#36
16.31.2
14.613.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 10.8
5442
#13
27.20.7
15.514.8
Auto0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
4156
#38
9.02.0
7.85.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 11.3
4212
#27
20.40.7
20.419.7
Auto2.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0