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Qual 402015 Central Illinois Regional
Red36
6318.7
400934.3
173914.8
Blue79
414352.8
202216.3
41569.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64632040801001203679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#11
34.30.8
27.9→27.1
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
blue by 18.6
4143
#3
52.81.1
40.8→41.8
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
63
#33
18.71.4
19.3→17.9
Auto0.3
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 2.4
2022
#24
16.31.1
20.2→21.3
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
1739
#26
14.81.4
17.3→15.9
Auto0.6
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 5.8
4156
#38
9.01.1
5.3→6.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop9.6
End0.0