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Red32
285611.4
173626.1
64819.9
Blue72
270416.6
203923.1
402837.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61592040801003272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#16
26.12.5
27.525.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
blue by 11.2
4028
#10
37.30.8
28.529.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
648
#22
19.92.5
18.315.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 3.2
2039
#20
23.10.8
20.521.3
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
2856
#35
11.42.5
16.313.8
Auto0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 5.2
2704
#34
16.60.8
13.714.5
Auto0.8
Teleop15.8
End0.0