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Red52
93819.2
285611.4
17125.8
Blue73
392828.7
464634.3
306716.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528301001502005273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
#18
25.80.1
28.928.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 8.5
4646
#14
34.30.4
32.331.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Second
938
#30
19.20.1
18.718.7
Auto0.6
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 9.5
3928
#17
28.70.6
26.125.5
Auto1.1
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
2856
#35
11.40.1
11.411.3
Auto0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 5.4
3067
#23
16.90.6
23.022.3
Auto0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0