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Red93
414352.8
553719.5
402837.3
Blue116
202216.3
208131.1
544227.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9358015020093116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.6
43.744.3
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 21.8
2081
#12
31.13.7
17.020.6
Auto0.3
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
4028
#10
37.30.6
32.232.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 10.1
5442
#13
27.23.7
25.829.5
Auto0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
5537
#29
19.50.6
14.815.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 3.2
2022
#24
16.33.7
22.526.2
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0