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Qual 62015 Central Illinois Regional
Red90
414352.8
464634.3
431410.3
Blue67
235820.9
64819.9
175653.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48470204060801009067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#3
52.83.5
16.2→19.7
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
blue by 1.0
1756
#4
53.91.3
24.6→25.9
Auto3.0
Teleop50.8
End0.0
Second
4646
#14
34.32.6
24.4→27.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
red by 13.3
2358
#25
20.91.3
13.3→14.6
Auto0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
4314
#31
10.33.5
7.5→11.0
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 9.6
648
#22
19.91.3
13.2→14.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop20.5
End0.0