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Red130
208131.1
87646.6
41569.0
Blue97
352837.7
544227.2
173626.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708505010015020025030013097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#5
46.62.8
44.146.8
Auto0.1
Teleop46.5
End0.0
red by 8.9
37.70.6
32.933.4
Auto0.7
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
2081
#12
31.13.4
24.728.1
Auto0.3
Teleop30.8
End0.0
red by 3.9
5442
#13
27.20.6
27.528.1
Auto0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
4156
#38
9.03.1
6.09.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 17.1
1736
#16
26.10.6
25.426.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0