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Red117
208131.1
203923.1
421220.4
Blue102
170115.6
553719.5
392828.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63530204080100120140117102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#12
31.12.9
28.131.0
Auto0.3
Teleop30.8
End0.0
red by 2.4
3928
#17
28.72.5
26.028.6
Auto1.1
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
2039
#20
23.12.9
21.124.1
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 3.6
5537
#29
19.52.5
16.919.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
4212
#27
20.42.9
14.917.8
Auto2.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 4.8
1701
#32
15.62.3
13.315.6
Auto0.6
Teleop15.0
End0.0