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Semifinal pool 12015 Central Illinois Regional
Red152
414352.8
251255.7
421220.4
Blue114
464634.3
409637.6
421316.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12776050100150200250152114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#2
55.70.5
53.9→54.4
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 18.1
4096
#8
37.60.5
37.2→37.6
Auto0.9
Teleop36.7
End0.0
Second
4143
#3
52.80.5
51.1→51.6
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 18.6
4646
#14
34.30.5
33.8→34.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Third
4212
#27
20.40.5
18.6→19.1
Auto2.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 4.0
4213
#36
16.30.5
15.9→16.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0