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Red106
102455.2
23479.2
29238.4
Blue102
394746.5
540337.0
317631.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1869850150200250106102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#1
79.21.2
81.280.0
Auto6.4
Teleop72.8
End0.0
red by 32.7
3947
#12
46.50.2
46.746.5
Auto1.1
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Second
55.21.2
57.256.0
Auto2.8
Teleop52.4
End0.0
red by 18.2
5403
#11
37.00.2
37.237.0
Auto0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Third
292
#16
38.41.2
40.439.2
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0
red by 7.4
3176
#25
31.00.2
31.331.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0