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Red132
174143.1
548433.7
427229.2
Blue166
448533.6
102455.2
150162.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions521500100200250132166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#6Sur
43.13.1
32.936.0
Auto2.2
Teleop40.9
End0.0
blue by 19.2
62.31.3
48.649.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop62.8
End0.0
Second
5484
#22
33.73.1
23.726.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 21.5
55.21.3
55.256.5
Auto2.8
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Third
4272
#26
29.23.1
13.016.1
Auto0.6
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 4.4
4485
#24
33.61.3
36.137.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0