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Red130
86844.8
174143.1
386526.7
Blue112
46140.5
317631.0
29238.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87844060100120140160130112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#15
44.82.2
34.937.1
Auto1.0
Teleop43.8
End0.0
red by 4.3
461
#19Sur
40.51.4
34.135.5
Auto0.5
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Second
43.12.2
36.038.2
Auto2.2
Teleop40.9
End0.0
red by 4.7
292
#16
38.41.4
32.934.3
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Third
3865
#27
26.72.2
15.918.0
Auto0.6
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3176
#25
31.01.4
23.124.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0