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Red138
427229.2
150162.3
29238.4
Blue130
174738.0
540238.3
548433.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989120406080120140160180138130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.31.9
48.450.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop62.8
End0.0
red by 24.1
5402
#14
38.31.7
29.731.4
Auto0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Second
292
#16
38.41.9
34.436.2
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0
red by 0.4
1747
#23
38.01.7
37.539.2
Auto0.1
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Third
4272
#26
29.21.9
18.019.9
Auto0.6
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5484
#22
33.71.7
28.229.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0