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Red120
540337.0
7152.8
219724.8
Blue102
548433.7
394746.5
152928.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119450150200120102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#5
52.80.4
53.553.9
Auto1.1
Teleop51.8
End0.0
red by 6.3
3947
#12
46.50.1
45.145.2
Auto1.1
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Second
5403
#11
37.00.4
33.233.5
Auto0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
red by 3.3
5484
#22
33.70.1
29.930.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
2197
#31
24.80.4
26.026.4
Auto1.4
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 3.2
1529
#29
28.00.1
24.925.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.2
End0.0