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Red126
394038.2
540337.0
4534.2
Blue197
286740.8
172047.5
150162.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94143050200250126197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#20
38.21.3
36.738.1
Auto0.8
Teleop37.3
End0.0
blue by 24.2
62.32.8
53.956.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop62.8
End0.0
Second
5403
#11
37.01.3
36.838.2
Auto0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
blue by 10.5
47.52.8
49.152.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop47.5
End0.0
Third
45
#28
34.21.3
31.833.1
Auto1.3
Teleop32.9
End0.0
blue by 6.7
40.82.8
37.140.0
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0