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Red135
394038.2
82945.8
498231.6
Blue83
548433.7
219724.8
174143.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10699608012014016013583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#10
45.81.3
40.341.7
Auto1.2
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 2.6
43.11.0
43.242.2
Auto2.2
Teleop40.9
End0.0
Second
3940
#20
38.21.3
38.139.4
Auto0.8
Teleop37.3
End0.0
red by 4.5
5484
#22
33.71.0
32.431.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
4982
#18
31.61.3
30.331.6
Auto1.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 6.8
2197
#31
24.81.0
28.127.0
Auto1.4
Teleop23.4
End0.0