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Red65
349438.3
448533.6
172047.5
Blue152
23479.2
394038.2
86844.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11516605010015020025030065152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.53.1
51.148.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop47.5
End0.0
blue by 31.7
234
#1
79.20.6
81.480.8
Auto6.4
Teleop72.8
End0.0
Second
3494
#17
38.33.1
37.434.3
Auto1.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
blue by 6.5
868
#15
44.80.6
43.242.6
Auto1.0
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Third
4485
#24
33.63.1
38.735.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
blue by 4.6
3940
#20
38.20.6
39.438.8
Auto0.8
Teleop37.3
End0.0