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Red144
349438.3
286740.8
498231.6
Blue164
427229.2
82945.8
7152.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95119050150200250144164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.82.1
38.840.9
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 12.0
71
#5
52.82.2
51.854.0
Auto1.1
Teleop51.8
End0.0
Second
3494
#17
38.32.1
34.336.4
Auto1.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
blue by 7.4
829
#10
45.82.2
41.743.9
Auto1.2
Teleop44.6
End0.0
Third
4982
#18
31.62.1
29.431.5
Auto1.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 2.4
4272
#26
29.22.2
26.128.4
Auto0.6
Teleop28.6
End0.0