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Red169
540238.3
349438.3
86844.8
Blue99
498231.6
164623.4
427229.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1197205010015020016999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#15
44.82.6
42.645.2
Auto1.0
Teleop43.8
End0.0
red by 13.2
4982
#18
31.60.8
31.532.3
Auto1.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Second
3494
#17
38.32.6
36.439.0
Auto1.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 9.1
4272
#26
29.20.8
28.429.2
Auto0.6
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
5402
#14
38.32.6
37.239.8
Auto0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
red by 14.9
1646
#30
23.40.8
22.523.4
Auto1.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0