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Red172
7152.8
150162.3
540238.3
Blue103
286740.8
172047.5
394038.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15911750100200250172103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.30.2
64.064.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop62.8
End0.0
red by 14.8
47.50.4
47.947.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop47.5
End0.0
Second
71
#5
52.80.2
54.554.7
Auto1.1
Teleop51.8
End0.0
red by 12.0
40.80.4
41.240.8
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
5402
#14
38.30.2
40.040.2
Auto0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
3940
#20
38.20.4
38.538.1
Auto0.8
Teleop37.3
End0.0