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Red49
349421.8
355922.9
394013.2
Blue53
86821.1
101819.4
174716.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575402040801001204953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.2
23.122.9
Auto0.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 1.9
868
#17
21.10.0
21.021.1
Auto0.7
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
3494
#12
21.80.2
22.021.8
Auto0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 2.4
1018
#13
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
3940
#25
13.20.2
13.313.2
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 3.3
1747
#22
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0