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Red49
394013.2
21718.8
317619.4
Blue46
48467.5
101819.4
174122.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2141060801001201404946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.42.0
11.413.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 3.0
1741
#20
22.30.5
16.917.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
3940
#25
13.22.0
7.49.4
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 6.3
1018
#13
19.40.5
14.915.4
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
2171
#31
8.82.0
6.28.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0
red by 1.2
4846
#29
7.50.5
7.98.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0