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Red23
394729.4
21718.8
86821.1
Blue12
49269.7
348721.1
317619.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60280501001502312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.42.8
18.315.5
Auto0.2
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 8.3
3487
#11
21.11.8
14.012.2
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
868
#17
21.12.8
27.925.1
Auto0.7
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 1.7
19.41.8
10.68.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
2171
#31
8.82.8
10.67.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4926
#23
9.71.8
8.97.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0