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Red80
172019.0
318010.7
23435.5
Blue53
427215.7
150123.9
21718.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4241102030506070808053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#2
35.53.1
25.228.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 11.6
1501
#10
23.90.8
21.822.6
Auto0.4
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Second
1720
#16
19.03.1
9.612.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 3.3
4272
#18
15.70.8
12.413.3
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
3180
#30
10.73.1
8.211.3
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 1.9
2171
#31
8.80.8
9.19.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0