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Red16
49269.7
349421.8
501015.1
Blue45
164614.2
421113.3
498217.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31300204060801645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#12
21.81.2
18.617.4
Auto0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 4.8
4982
#19
17.01.1
10.711.8
Auto0.3
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Second
5010
#24
15.11.2
9.48.2
Auto0.8
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 1.0
1646
#34
14.21.1
9.110.1
Auto0.6
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
4926
#23
9.71.2
4.02.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 3.6
4211
#26
13.31.1
11.412.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0