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Red59
152919.5
46125.0
501015.1
Blue76
172019.0
349421.8
348721.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30470204060801001205976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#9
25.01.8
19.521.3
Auto0.3
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 3.2
3494
#12
21.82.2
17.419.5
Auto0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
1529
#15
19.51.8
6.48.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3487
#11
21.12.2
18.220.4
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
5010
#24
15.11.8
8.210.0
Auto0.8
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 3.8
1720
#16
19.02.2
10.512.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0