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Red33
394013.2
314717.2
48467.5
Blue24
86821.1
318010.7
174716.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32480204060801001201403324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3147
#21
17.20.2
18.618.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 3.9
868
#17
21.11.7
21.619.9
Auto0.7
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
3940
#25
13.20.2
10.09.8
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 3.3
1747
#22
16.41.7
14.813.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
4846
#29
7.50.2
7.06.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3180
#30
10.71.7
11.29.5
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0