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Red32
86821.1
102441.4
150123.9
Blue41
501015.1
101819.4
518832.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions834501001503241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.43.2
37.634.4
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 9.2
32.20.0
24.524.5
Auto0.5
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Second
1501
#10
23.93.2
22.719.5
Auto0.4
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 4.5
1018
#13
19.40.0
18.518.5
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
868
#17
21.13.2
19.916.6
Auto0.7
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 5.9
5010
#24
15.10.0
10.010.0
Auto0.8
Teleop14.3
End0.0