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Red30
318010.7
42346.5
349421.8
Blue115
172019.0
394729.4
317619.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3757010015030115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#12
21.80.6
22.722.1
Auto0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 7.6
29.43.3
26.529.8
Auto0.2
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Second
3180
#30
10.70.6
11.310.7
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 8.7
19.43.3
16.119.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
4234
#33
6.50.6
7.16.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 12.5
1720
#16
19.03.3
13.116.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0