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Red84
348721.1
540316.8
410326.7
Blue58
42346.5
317619.4
174716.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322604060801001208458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.74.3
12.616.9
Auto0.3
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 7.3
19.42.5
8.811.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Second
3487
#11
21.14.3
12.216.6
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 4.7
1747
#22
16.42.5
14.116.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
5403
#14
16.84.3
7.011.3
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 10.4
4234
#33
6.52.5
4.57.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0