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Red39
150123.9
44728.3
82919.5
Blue86
46125.0
410326.7
498217.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61670501001503986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#7
28.30.4
25.725.3
Auto0.6
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 1.6
26.70.3
26.626.9
Auto0.3
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Second
1501
#10
23.90.4
21.320.9
Auto0.4
Teleop23.5
End0.0
blue by 1.1
461
#9
25.00.3
24.925.2
Auto0.3
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Third
829
#27
19.50.4
16.916.4
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 2.5
4982
#19
17.00.3
16.917.2
Auto0.3
Teleop16.7
End0.0