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Red99
518832.2
102441.4
164614.2
Blue106
172019.0
152919.5
174122.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8249010015020099106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.3
38.939.2
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 19.1
1741
#20
22.30.8
20.721.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
32.20.3
29.730.0
Auto0.5
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 12.8
1529
#15
19.50.8
17.818.7
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
1646
#34
14.20.3
11.611.9
Auto0.6
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 4.8
1720
#16
19.00.8
17.318.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0