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Red96
518832.2
102441.4
164614.2
Blue114
150123.9
44728.3
82919.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8456010015020096114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.3
39.840.1
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 13.1
447
#7
28.30.9
25.426.2
Auto0.6
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
32.20.3
30.630.9
Auto0.5
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
1501
#10
23.90.9
20.921.8
Auto0.4
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
1646
#34
14.20.3
12.612.9
Auto0.6
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 5.3
829
#27
19.50.9
16.517.4
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0